New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Recap

NBA · May 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Cleveland Cavaliers LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Cleveland Cavaliers at 56% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.1pp · closed at 1.98 (50.5%)

Small Play

Cleveland Cavaliers

Model 56%

Market 53%

Edge +2.5 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

55.6% —

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