Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Recap

NBA · May 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Oklahoma City Thunder WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Oklahoma City Thunder at 66% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +8.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Oklahoma City Thunder

Model 66%

Market 58%

Edge +8.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

66.1% —

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