San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves Recap

NBA · May 10, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Timberwolves WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Timberwolves at 43% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +5.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play

Minnesota Timberwolves

Model 43%

Market 38%

Edge +5.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

43.5% —

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