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Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs Recap

NBA · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Timberwolves WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Timberwolves at 32% against FanDuel's implied 14% — an edge of +18.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick Dog play
Minnesota Timberwolves
Model 32%
Market 14%
Edge +18.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
32.2%

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