Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns Recap
NBA · April 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Phoenix Suns LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Phoenix Suns at 32% against FanDuel's implied 19% — an edge of +12.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Phoenix Suns
Model
32%
Market
19%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Model gives 31.7% vs FanDuel's implied 19.2%. Elo gap of -200 backs it. Injury adj: -3.3% for Phoenix Suns (Mark Williams, Jordan Goodwin), +4.2% from opp (Jalen Williams, Thomas Sorber).
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