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Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · October 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Los Angeles Dodgers LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 40% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +4.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -7.0pp  ·  closed at 1.93 (51.8%)

Small Play Dog play
Los Angeles Dodgers
+150 on FanDuel
Model 40%
Market 40%
Edge +4.9 pts

Solid 4.9% edge at FanDuel (2.50).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
39.7% —

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