Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers Recap
MLB · September 19, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Texas Rangers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Texas Rangers at 48% against FanDuel's implied 50% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -0.4pp · closed at 1.92 (52.1%)
Solid 2.2% edge at FanDuel (2.02).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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