San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
MLB · September 18, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 28% against FanDuel's implied 29% — an edge of +6.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.1pp · closed at 3.76 (26.6%)
FADE GUARD: market moved 1.6pp against this side since publish
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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