New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Recap
MLB · September 16, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 52% against FanDuel's implied 53% — an edge of +5.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.1pp · closed at 1.88 (53.2%)
Solid 5.7% edge at FanDuel (1.90).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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