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Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels Recap

MLB · September 15, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Los Angeles Angels WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Angels at 54% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +5.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.8pp  ·  closed at 1.85 (54.0%)

Small Play
Los Angeles Angels
-120 on FanDuel
Model 54%
Market 55%
Edge +5.2 pts

Solid 5.2% edge at FanDuel (1.83).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
53.7% —

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