San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets Recap
MLB · September 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — New York Mets WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Mets at 40% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +4.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.8pp · closed at 2.32 (43.1%)
Solid 4.3% edge at FanDuel (2.46).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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