Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals Recap
MLB · September 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Toronto Blue Jays WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 48% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +3.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -0.9pp · closed at 1.93 (51.8%)
Solid 3.3% edge at FanDuel (2.10).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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