Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Recap
MLB · September 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Detroit Tigers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Tigers at 41% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.3pp · closed at 2.42 (41.3%)
Solid 4.7% edge at FanDuel (2.50).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Detroit Tigers picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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