Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Recap
MLB · September 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Detroit Tigers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Tigers at 41% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.3pp · closed at 2.42 (41.3%)
Solid 4.7% edge at FanDuel (2.50).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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