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St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

MLB · September 02, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — St. Louis Cardinals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked St. Louis Cardinals at 47% against FanDuel's implied 47% — an edge of +10.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +11.0pp  ·  closed at 2.15 (46.5%)

Pass Dog play
St. Louis Cardinals
+112 on FanDuel
Model 47%
Market 47%
Edge +10.3 pts

FADE GUARD: market moved 2.1pp against this side since publish

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
47.1%

Model performance on St. Louis Cardinals picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
45
W - L
18 - 27
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+5.5pt
ROI
-11.5%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.