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Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · May 23, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

VOID

Tampa Bay Rays — VOID.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 48% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Tampa Bay Rays
120 on FanDuel
Model 48%
Market 45%
Edge +2.1 pts

Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (2.20). Elo agrees (+35 gap).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Elo baseline
51.6%
+ Season record + form
54.1% +2.5pp
Calibration offset
52.7% -0.9pp
Platt rescale
50.3% -3.1pp
Final model probability
50.3%

Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
27
W - L
16 - 8
Win rate
67%
Avg CLV
+5.3pt
ROI
+21.4%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.