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Coco Gauff @ Belinda Bencic Recap

Canadian Open (W) · August 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

PUSH

Belinda Bencic — PUSH.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Belinda Bencic at 39% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +10.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.9pp  ·  closed at 2.58 (38.8%)

Top Pick Dog play
Belinda Bencic
+154 on FanDuel
Model 39%
Market 39%
Edge +10.3 pts

Model gives 49.7% vs FanDuel's implied 39.4%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
39.4%

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