Anna Kalinskaya @ Anastasia Potapova Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · June 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Anna Kalinskaya WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Anna Kalinskaya at 38% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.3pp · closed at 2.63 (38.0%)
Solid 2.6% edge at FanDuel (2.80).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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