Oleksandra Oliynykova @ Diana Shnaider Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Oleksandra Oliynykova LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Oleksandra Oliynykova at 32% against FanDuel's implied 30% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.0pp · closed at 3.45 (29.0%)
Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (3.35).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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