Madison Keys @ Victoria Mboko Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Victoria Mboko LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Victoria Mboko at 46% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +3.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -4.2pp · closed at 2.00 (50.0%)
Solid 3.2% edge at FanDuel (2.35).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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