Anastasia Potapova @ Coco Gauff Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Anastasia Potapova WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Anastasia Potapova at 43% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +6.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +18.4pp · closed at 4.09 (24.4%)
Solid 6.5% edge at FanDuel (2.75).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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