Katerina Siniakova @ Victoria Mboko Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Katerina Siniakova LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Katerina Siniakova at 49% against FanDuel's implied 34% — an edge of +14.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +22.3pp · closed at 3.81 (26.2%)
Model gives 48.5% vs FanDuel's implied 34.5%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up. Note: best price is 3.16 at DraftKings.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.