Alina Korneeva @ Anna Kalinskaya Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Alina Korneeva LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Alina Korneeva at 47% against FanDuel's implied 33% — an edge of +13.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +14.4pp · closed at 3.10 (32.3%)
Model gives 46.7% vs FanDuel's implied 33.3%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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