Magdalena Frech @ Jil Teichmann Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Magdalena Frech LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Magdalena Frech at 60% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +3.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.2pp · closed at 1.60 (62.5%)
Solid 3.8% edge at FanDuel (1.77). Best is 1.85 at DraftKings.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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