Magdalena Frech @ Jil Teichmann Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Magdalena Frech LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Magdalena Frech at 60% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +3.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.2pp · closed at 1.60 (62.5%)

Small Play

Magdalena Frech

Model 60%

Market 56%

Edge +3.8 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)

60.3% —

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