Maria Sakkari @ Linda Noskova Recap
Roland-Garros (W) · May 26, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Linda Noskova LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Linda Noskova at 69% against FanDuel's implied 62% — an edge of +7.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.1pp · closed at 1.41 (70.9%)
Solid 7.1% edge at FanDuel (1.62).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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