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Leolia Jeanjean @ Kaitlin Quevedo Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Kaitlin Quevedo WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Kaitlin Quevedo at 73% against FanDuel's implied 70% — an edge of +3.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +17.8pp  ·  closed at 1.81 (55.2%)

Small Play
Kaitlin Quevedo
-233 on FanDuel
Model 73%
Market 70%
Edge +3.1 pts

Solid 3.1% edge at FanDuel (1.43).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
73.1%

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