Daria Snigur @ Clara Tauson Recap

Roland-Garros (W) · May 24, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Clara Tauson LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Clara Tauson at 58% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +2.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -5.8pp · closed at 1.57 (63.7%)

Small Play

Clara Tauson

Model 58%

Market 56%

Edge +2.3 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

57.9% —

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