Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons Recap
NFL · October 11, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Atlanta Falcons LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Falcons at 43% against FanDuel's implied 42% — an edge of +6.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Solid 6.5% edge at FanDuel (2.38). Elo agrees (-62 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Atlanta Falcons picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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