Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Recap
NFL · October 08, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Tampa Bay Buccaneers WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 51% against FanDuel's implied 54% — an edge of +6.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +10.5pp · closed at 1.99 (50.2%)
Solid 6.7% edge at FanDuel (1.85).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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