Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears Recap
NFL · September 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago Bears WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago Bears at 39% against FanDuel's implied 41% — an edge of +6.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.2pp · closed at 2.58 (38.8%)
Solid 6.9% edge at FanDuel (2.44). Elo agrees (-50 gap). Best is 2.60 at BetMGM.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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