Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills Recap
NFL · September 17, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Detroit Lions LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Lions at 50% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +6.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +7.5pp · closed at 2.00 (50.0%)
Solid 6.2% edge at FanDuel (1.95).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.