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Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Recap

NFL · September 13, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — New York Giants WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked New York Giants at 50% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.1pp  ·  closed at 2.03 (49.3%)

Small Play
New York Giants
-105 on FanDuel
Model 50%
Market 51%
Edge +2.1 pts

Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (1.95).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
49.5% —

Model performance on New York Giants picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
17
W - L
8 - 7
Win rate
53%
Avg CLV
+6.2pt
ROI
-35.1%

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