Joshua Van @ Tatsuro Taira Recap

MMA · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Tatsuro Taira LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tatsuro Taira at 76% against FanDuel's implied 62% — an edge of +14.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Top Pick

Tatsuro Taira

Model 76%

Market 62%

Edge +14.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

76.4% —

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