Jeremy Stephens @ King Green Recap
MMA · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — King Green WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked King Green at 90% against FanDuel's implied 80% — an edge of +10.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
King Green
Model
90%
Market
80%
Edge
+10.1 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
90.1%
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