William Gomis @ Pat Sabatini Recap
MMA · May 09, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — William Gomis LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked William Gomis at 43% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +2.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
William Gomis
Model
43%
Market
40%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Solid 2.7% edge at FanDuel (2.48).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
43.0%
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