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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Recap

MLB · October 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Atlanta Braves LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Braves at 56% against FanDuel's implied 57% — an edge of +2.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.0pp  ·  closed at 1.71 (58.5%)

Small Play
Atlanta Braves
-133 on FanDuel
Model 56%
Market 57%
Edge +2.3 pts

Solid 2.3% edge at FanDuel (1.75).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
56.3% —

Model performance on Atlanta Braves picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
15
W - L
6 - 9
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+3.8pt
ROI
-23.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.