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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Recap

MLB · October 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Los Angeles Dodgers WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 37% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +4.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.7pp  ·  closed at 2.69 (37.2%)

Small Play Dog play
Los Angeles Dodgers
+168 on FanDuel
Model 37%
Market 37%
Edge +4.6 pts

Solid 4.6% edge at FanDuel (2.68).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
36.6% —

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