Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · September 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Detroit Tigers LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Tigers at 48% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +6.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -5.0pp · closed at 1.86 (53.8%)
Solid 6.0% edge at FanDuel (2.34). Best is 2.45 at BetMGM.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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