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Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants Recap

MLB · September 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 43% against FanDuel's implied 44% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.1pp  ·  closed at 2.26 (44.2%)

Small Play Dog play
San Francisco Giants
+126 on FanDuel
Model 43%
Market 44%
Edge +4.1 pts

Solid 4.1% edge at FanDuel (2.26).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
43.0% —

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