Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap
MLB · September 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 36% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +4.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.4pp · closed at 2.47 (40.5%)
Solid 4.1% edge at FanDuel (2.72).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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