Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles Recap
MLB · September 22, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Baltimore Orioles — VOID.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +5.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Baltimore Orioles
+180 on FanDuel
Model
35%
Market
36%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Solid 5.0% edge at FanDuel (2.80).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
35.1%
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