New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Recap
MLB · September 15, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Minnesota Twins LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 39% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +5.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.3pp · closed at 2.50 (40.0%)
Solid 5.6% edge at FanDuel (2.52). Elo agrees (-38 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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