San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · September 12, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 52% against FanDuel's implied 52% — an edge of +6.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.2pp · closed at 1.90 (52.6%)
Solid 6.0% edge at FanDuel (1.93).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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