Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians Recap
MLB · September 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 38% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +5.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.5pp · closed at 2.56 (39.1%)
Solid 5.2% edge at FanDuel (2.54). Best is 2.85 at BetMGM.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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