Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels Recap
MLB · August 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Philadelphia Phillies WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Philadelphia Phillies at 52% against FanDuel's implied 51% — an edge of +5.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +3.2pp · closed at 1.87 (53.5%)
Solid 5.4% edge at FanDuel (1.95). Elo agrees (+100 gap).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Model performance on Philadelphia Phillies picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
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