Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · August 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Arizona Diamondbacks WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +4.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.9pp · closed at 2.58 (38.8%)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model
35%
Market
36%
Edge
+4.5 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
35.1%
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