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Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Recap

MLB · August 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Arizona Diamondbacks WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 35% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +4.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +1.9pp  ·  closed at 2.58 (38.8%)

Small Play Dog play
Arizona Diamondbacks
+176 on FanDuel
Model 35%
Market 36%
Edge +4.5 pts

Solid 4.5% edge at FanDuel (2.76).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
35.1%

Model performance on Arizona Diamondbacks picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
17
W - L
10 - 7
Win rate
59%
Avg CLV
+4.2pt
ROI
+70.8%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.