Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · August 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 58% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +5.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -2.7pp · closed at 1.58 (63.3%)

Small Play

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 58%

Market 56%

Edge +5.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

57.7% —

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