Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox Recap
MLB · August 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Chicago White Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Chicago White Sox at 48% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +0.0pp · closed at 1.99 (50.2%)
Chicago White Sox
Model
48%
Market
48%
Edge
+2.2 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Elo baseline
50.9%
—
Platt rescale
43.9%
-7.0pp
Injury report (drag - opponent's drag)
42.5%
-1.4pp
Moneyline normalization (both sides to 100%)
47.9%
+5.4pp
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.