Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · August 25, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 36% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +4.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.3pp · closed at 2.61 (38.3%)

Small Play Dog play

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 36%

Market 36%

Edge +4.9 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

35.6% —

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