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Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Recap

MLB · August 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Texas Rangers LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Texas Rangers at 38% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.8pp  ·  closed at 2.61 (38.3%)

Small Play Dog play
Texas Rangers
+160 on FanDuel
Model 38%
Market 38%
Edge +4.7 pts

Solid 4.7% edge at FanDuel (2.60).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
37.8%

Model performance on Texas Rangers picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
13
W - L
5 - 8
Win rate
38%
Avg CLV
+2.9pt
ROI
-17.9%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.