Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Recap

MLB · August 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Texas Rangers LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Texas Rangers at 38% against FanDuel's implied 38% — an edge of +4.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +4.8pp · closed at 2.61 (38.3%)

Small Play Dog play

Texas Rangers

Model 38%

Market 38%

Edge +4.7 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

37.8% —

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