Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · August 21, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Toronto Blue Jays LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Toronto Blue Jays at 52% against FanDuel's implied 54% — an edge of +2.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: -0.3pp · closed at 1.76 (56.8%)

Pass

Toronto Blue Jays

Model 52%

Market 54%

Edge +2.5 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

52.5% —

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